AN INVESTIGATION OF THE INTEREST RATE RISK AND EXCHANGE RATE RISK OF THE EUROPEAN FINANCIAL SECTOR: EURO ZONE VERSUS NON-EURO ZONE COUNTRIES
Vol. 12, Nr. 2/2013 , p319..344
Author(s):
Amalia DI IORIO Robert FAFF Harald SANDER
Keywords:
Interest Rate Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; European Financial Sector; Intervaling
Abstract:
This paper examines the sensitivity
of financial sector stock returns to two risk factors – interest rates (both
long-term and short-term) and exchange rates.
Specifically we investigate the impact of the European Union and the
introduction of the euro on European financial sector risk in the framework of
a comparative analysis of financial sector returns across three broad groupings
(Banking, Financial Services and Insurance) for a representative group of key
euro and non-eurozone countries. Further we investigate the nature of interest
rate and exchange rate exposure across increasing time horizons, enabling us to
examine both its short and long-term effects on stock returns. Generally, our
findings suggest that while Banks are more sensitive to short-term interest
rates, the Financial Services and Insurance sectors are more sensitive to
long-term interest rates. There is no
notable trend in sensitivity pre-/post-euro and differences in terms of the
impact of interest rate changes across countries seem to suggest (i) some
evidence of integration, and (ii) differences in financial structures and
regulation. Further, interest rate sensitivity increases significantly with
increasing time intervals. Evidence of
exchange rate exposure is weak across all countries and sectors although there
is some evidence that it increases with increasing time intervals. Differences
in sensitivity can be related to differences in international activities.
Download:
http://online-cig.ase.ro/jcig/art/paper_1853.pdf
Back
|
|