THE EFFECT OF THE INTRODUCTION OF THE EURO ON ASYMMETRIC STOCK MARKET RETURNS VOLATILITY ACROSS THE EURO-ZONE
Vol. 12, Nr. 2/2013 , p280..301
Author(s):
Simon MOORHEAD Robert BROOKS
© 2013. This work is openly licensed via CC BY 4.0.
Keywords:
Euro Introduction; Stock Return Volatility; Asymmetry; European Markets
Abstract:
The aim of this paper is to examine the effect
that the increase in integration, culminating in the introduction of the euro
currency, had on returns volatility across the different members of the
currency union. We analyse the twelve countries that adopted the euro in
January 2002, over the sample period July 1990 to December 2006. Volatility is
measured across each of four sub-periods for TARCH and APARCH models because of
their ability to account for asymmetries in the data. We find that overall
there is a distinct change in the dynamics of asymmetric volatility across the
various stages in the introduction of the euro. The first sub-period shows
evidence of asymmetric volatility in only a few countries. The relaxation of the rejection criterion in
the second sub-period allows for an increase in the number of countries where
asymmetric volatility is present and in the third and fourth sub-periods almost
all of the countries analysed display asymmetric volatility.
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